Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 0-3
Sampdoria vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
SAM
1 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
SAM
2 - 2
TER
82%
13%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
COS
1 - 2
SAM
14%
22%
64%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
SAM
2 - 1
RAV
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 3
SAM
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
BOL
2 - 0
LEC
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
BOL
2 - 2
ZEN
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
ACM
4 - 0
BOL
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
BOL
0 - 1
REG
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
ZEN
0 - 3
BOL
29%
30%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |