Sampdoria vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
ROM
2 - 1
SAM
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SAM
4 - 0
PAL
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SAM
2 - 5
LAZ
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
INT
2 - 0
SAM
65%
18%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
SAM
3 - 0
NOV
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
BOL
0 - 0
LAZ
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
COM
2 - 2
BOL
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
57%
21%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
FIO
3 - 0
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 1
TRI
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |