Sampdoria vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAM
45%
22%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
46%
22%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
TOR
1 - 1
SAM
89%
7%
4%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
SAM
1 - 0
FIO
55%
20%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
ROM
3 - 1
SAM
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
BOL
1 - 0
TRI
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
USA
0 - 1
BOL
28%
25%
48%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
VIC
0 - 3
BOL
32%
25%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
BOL
4 - 0
VNZ
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |