Sampdoria vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 0
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SAM
1 - 0
PAL
63%
21%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
SAM
4 - 0
VNZ
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
MES
3 - 3
SAM
39%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ASC
3 - 2
BAR
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
VIC
2 - 1
ASC
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2003 |
ASC
3 - 0
SAL
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
TRI
3 - 1
ASC
61%
22%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ASC
2 - 1
SIE
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |