Coppa Italia Final
Global 6-1
Sampdoria vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
SAM
3 - 1
INT
57%
23%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
SAM
1 - 1
GEN
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
ANC
0 - 0
SAM
28%
29%
44%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1994 |
USC
0 - 0
SAM
27%
28%
46%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
SAM
6 - 0
USF
68%
18%
13%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
ANC
1 - 1
PIS
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
FIA
0 - 0
ANC
30%
29%
40%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
ANC
0 - 0
SAM
28%
29%
44%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
ANC
3 - 2
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
CES
0 - 0
ANC
49%
27%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |