Sampdoria Sub 18 vs Lecce Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
16º
16º
32
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HEL
2 - 2
SAM
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
FRO
86%
9%
5%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
CAG
40%
22%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
SAM
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
INT
3 - 0
SAM
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
LEC
3 - 1
SAS
38%
23%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
LEC
81%
12%
8%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
LAZ
4 - 2
LEC
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 2
GEN
25%
21%
54%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 2
LEC
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |