Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 6-4
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 1
OLA
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 3
SAM
25%
25%
51%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 1
BAR
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAM
28%
25%
48%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 0
ANG
54%
25%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
ITA
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
DES
2 - 1
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CUI
1 - 1
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
CAS
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
ITA
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |