Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
20.5%
71.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAM
73%
19%
9%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
FLU
0 - 0
SAM
89%
9%
2%
|
49 | 88 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 3
BON
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
BON
1 - 1
SAM
13%
23%
63%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAM
89%
9%
2%
|
50 | 90 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 0
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 2
CMA
89%
9%
2%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 3
PAC
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
SCI
0 - 1
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |