Rio Cup Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 1-4
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
BON
1 - 1
SAM
13%
23%
63%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAM
89%
9%
2%
|
49 | 90 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
BOT
7%
21%
72%
|
49 | 90 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 4
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
BOA
3 - 2
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
BON
1 - 1
SAM
13%
23%
63%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
SCR
2 - 2
BON
35%
23%
43%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
BON
1 - 1
SCR
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RDJ
2 - 1
BON
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
BON
0 - 0
ZFC
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |