Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 6-3
Sampaio Correa vs Vilhena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAM
22%
24%
53%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
MIX
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 1
SAM
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 0
ARA
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
6 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAM
22%
24%
53%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
REM
2 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 0
ATL
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
PEN
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |