Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 3-2
Sampaio Correa vs Sao Domingos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
SDF
1 - 1
SAM
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 0
PAY
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 2
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
SAM
4 - 2
RIO
28%
26%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +3 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
LUV
0 - 0
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sao Domingos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SDF
3 - 0
SDJ
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
RIP
1 - 0
SDF
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SDF
1 - 1
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
SDF
1 - 1
SAM
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
OSE
2 - 0
SDF
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |