Sampaio Correa vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 1
SAM
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
JEC
3 - 1
SAM
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 3
PPE
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 1
SAM
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAN
15%
20%
65%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
CEA
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |