Sampaio Correa vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
IMP
2 - 0
SAM
16%
22%
63%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
CEA
22%
23%
56%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 3
SAM
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
4 - 0
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOT
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 0
PAR
13%
20%
67%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 0
PRU
80%
16%
5%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TCW
0 - 0
PAR
10%
19%
71%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
URT
1 - 1
PAR
12%
20%
68%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
LON
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |