Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 5-3
Sampaio Correa vs Interporto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MOT
1 - 0
SAM
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
MOT
68%
19%
14%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 0
COR
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
COR
1 - 5
SAM
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MOT
1 - 0
SAM
29%
26%
44%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Interporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
INT
1 - 2
GUR
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
INT
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 3
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
INT
0 - 0
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
INT
2 - 2
SAM
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |