Sampaio Correa vs Independiente PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CAC
2 - 1
SAM
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
SAM
5 - 0
TDC
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
REC
1 - 2
SAM
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
MOT
0 - 5
SAM
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
BAC
1 - 4
SAM
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
IND
0 - 0
REC
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
IND
4 - 1
CAC
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
TDC
2 - 1
IND
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
REM
1 - 0
IND
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
REC
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |