Sampaio Correa vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
CRB
1 - 0
SAM
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 0
SAN
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CUI
1 - 0
SAM
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 1
LUV
36%
27%
38%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 3
SAM
63%
21%
17%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
CUI
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 0
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 2
TRE
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
FOR
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 1
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |