Copa do Nordeste Final
Global 1-0
Sampaio Correa vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
LON
1 - 1
SAM
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAM
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 3
ATL
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
ABC
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
FFL
1 - 0
SAM
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
BAH
0 - 0
CEA
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 1
BAH
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
BAH
1 - 0
COR
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
BAH
3 - 3
BOT
48%
26%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
BAH
27%
30%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |