Série D Brazil Final
Global 3-1
Sampaio Correa vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAM
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
MIX
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 1
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
MOG
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
CRA
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FRI
3 - 1
CRA
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
FRI
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |