Sampaio Correa vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
BOT
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
CON
0 - 0
SAM
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CON
0 - 2
SAM
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
IMP
1 - 1
SAM
22%
26%
53%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 0
IMP
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
GLO
2 - 0
CON
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
CON
0 - 0
SAM
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CON
0 - 2
SAM
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CON
1 - 3
ITA
73%
18%
10%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
CON
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |