Sampaio Correa vs Comercial PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
SAM
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 1
IND
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CAC
2 - 1
SAM
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
SAM
5 - 0
TDC
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
REC
1 - 2
SAM
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CAC
0 - 3
REC
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
TDC
1 - 1
CAC
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 1
4DE
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
REC
1 - 0
CAC
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
4DE
1 - 0
CAC
44%
25%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |