Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-1
Sampaio Correa vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAC
0 - 0
SAM
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 1
SAM
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
JOS
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
IMP
1 - 1
SAM
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 0
BAC
66%
19%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 1
CSP
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 1
SAM
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 2
CAM
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AUT
1 - 0
CAM
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |