Série D Brazil Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Sampaio Correa vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAM
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
MIX
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 1
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
4 - 1
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAM
22%
24%
53%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAM
38%
27%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAM
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 1
BAR
63%
21%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
SOU
40%
27%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |