Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-2
Sampaio Correa vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
63.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 3
SAM
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIA
0 - 0
SAM
11%
19%
69%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
4 - 0
COR
69%
18%
12%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
JOS
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 0
IMP
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
5 - 0
OPE
81%
14%
6%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
LON
3 - 0
ATP
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 3
ATP
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
0 - 0
COT
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
ATP
12%
19%
68%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | -1 |