Sampaio Correa vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
PAY
1 - 0
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 3
BAC
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
BAC
0 - 0
SAM
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 0
MOT
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAM
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 0
RIO
37%
25%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 0
AGU
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 1
FLU
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
REC
3 - 2
AGU
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 1
PAY
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |