Samoa vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
68.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
ASA
90%
8%
2%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
TON
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
COK
2 - 3
SAM
39%
24%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
TUV
3 - 0
SAM
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
FIJ
5 - 1
SAM
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
TAH
1 - 0
NCL
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TAH
1 - 3
NCL
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
NCL
3 - 5
TAH
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
NZL
1 - 0
TAH
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
COK
0 - 1
TAH
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |