Samoa vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2004 |
SAM
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
38 | 5 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
AUS
11 - 0
SAM
85%
12%
4%
|
38 | 89 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
1 - 6
FIJ
12%
21%
66%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2001 |
ASA
0 - 8
SAM
2%
13%
86%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
0 - 1
TON
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2004 |
ASA
1 - 9
VAN
1%
10%
89%
|
36 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
PNG
1 - 1
VAN
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
VAN
1 - 2
CYM
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
VAN
1 - 2
CYM
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
0 - 1
VAN
71%
17%
13%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |