Samoa vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
73.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 3
VAN
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
SAM
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
38 | 5 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
AUS
11 - 0
SAM
85%
12%
4%
|
38 | 89 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
1 - 6
FIJ
12%
21%
66%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2001 |
ASA
0 - 8
SAM
2%
13%
86%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
FIJ
11 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
54 | 5 | 49 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
FIJ
4 - 2
PNG
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
8 - 0
FIJ
83%
13%
4%
|
55 | 90 | 35 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2002 |
FIJ
0 - 1
VAN
85%
11%
5%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
FIJ
2 - 1
NCL
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |