Samoa vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2001 |
ASA
0 - 8
SAM
2%
13%
86%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
0 - 1
TON
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1996 |
TON
1 - 0
SAM
21%
26%
54%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
SAM
2 - 1
COK
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
FIJ
13 - 0
ASA
92%
7%
2%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2001 |
FIJ
1 - 2
MAS
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
FIJ
2 - 0
MAS
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2001 |
FIJ
4 - 1
MAS
34%
26%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
FIJ
2 - 2
COK
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |