Samoa vs American Samoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
17.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.6%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.2%
1.8%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
+1615%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
TON
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
COK
2 - 3
SAM
39%
24%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
TUV
3 - 0
SAM
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
FIJ
5 - 1
SAM
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
FIJ
3 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
American Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
COK
3%
13%
84%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
TON
2%
11%
86%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TON
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
5 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
ASA
0 - 15
VAN
1%
10%
89%
|
5 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
ASA
0 - 7
SAM
2%
11%
88%
|
5 | 33 | 28 | 0 |