Samoa vs American Samoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.9%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.7%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
10%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
15.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
17%
3-0
18.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
21.4%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.2%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.7%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
1.8%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
5.3%
0.8%
Win probability
0.17
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.7%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+154%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
AUS
11 - 0
SAM
85%
12%
4%
|
38 | 89 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
1 - 6
FIJ
12%
21%
66%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2001 |
ASA
0 - 8
SAM
2%
13%
86%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
0 - 1
TON
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1996 |
TON
1 - 0
SAM
21%
26%
54%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
American Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ASA
0 - 5
TON
2%
13%
86%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
AUS
31 - 0
ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
5 | 89 | 84 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2001 |
ASA
0 - 8
SAM
2%
13%
86%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
FIJ
13 - 0
ASA
92%
7%
2%
|
7 | 55 | 48 | -1 |