Samoa vs Solomon Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
SAM
2 - 1
TON
80%
13%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
ASA
0 - 7
SAM
2%
11%
88%
|
33 | 5 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
VAN
4 - 0
SAM
62%
20%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 4
PNG
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 4
FIJ
9%
18%
74%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VAN
0 - 2
SOL
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
SOL
4 - 0
TON
90%
8%
2%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SOL
12 - 1
ASA
95%
5%
1%
|
46 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
SOL
1 - 2
AUS
3%
14%
83%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
AUS
7 - 0
SOL
87%
10%
2%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | 0 |