American Samoa vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
0.9%
Win probability
0.1
Expected goals
2-0
<0%
+2
<0%
1-0
0.8%
2-1
0.1%
+1
0.9%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
0.1%
0
9.7%
89.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
18.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
23.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
25.3%
0-3
19.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0%
-3
20.4%
0-4
11.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
12.4%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
0.2%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+119%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
American Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2004 |
SAM
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
5 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ASA
0 - 5
TON
2%
13%
86%
|
5 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
AUS
31 - 0
ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
5 | 88 | 83 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2001 |
ASA
0 - 8
SAM
2%
13%
86%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
FIJ
13 - 0
ASA
92%
7%
2%
|
7 | 55 | 48 | -1 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2004 |
PNG
1 - 1
VAN
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
VAN
1 - 2
CYM
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
VAN
1 - 2
CYM
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
0 - 1
VAN
71%
17%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
CYM
2 - 2
VAN
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |