American Samoa vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
0.8%
Win probability
0.1
Expected goals
2-0
<0%
+2
<0%
1-0
0.7%
2-1
0.1%
+1
0.8%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
1.8%
2-2
0.1%
0
8.8%
90.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
22.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
24.9%
0-3
19.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0%
-3
20.9%
0-4
12.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
6.5%
1-6
0.3%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
1%
1-8
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+119%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
American Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
FIJ
11 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
5 | 55 | 50 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
ASA
1 - 9
VAN
1%
10%
89%
|
5 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
SAM
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
5 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ASA
0 - 5
TON
2%
13%
86%
|
5 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
AUS
31 - 0
ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
5 | 88 | 83 | 0 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2004 |
FIJ
4 - 2
PNG
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
PNG
1 - 1
VAN
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
3 - 0
PNG
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
PNG
2 - 2
TON
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
PNG
3 - 5
CYM
37%
23%
39%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |