American Samoa vs Cook Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
76.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1615%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
American Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
TON
1 - 2
ASA
84%
12%
4%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 2
ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
FIJ
6 - 0
ASA
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 55 | 46 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
ASA
90%
8%
2%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
COK
3%
13%
84%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
COK
1 - 0
SAM
46%
24%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
COK
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TON
2 - 1
COK
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
COK
3%
13%
84%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
COK
2 - 3
SAM
39%
24%
36%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |