Sammaurese vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LEN
0 - 1
SAM
48%
22%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 2
RIB
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 0
SAM
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
SAM
78%
16%
6%
|
34 | 77 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 0
FOR
18%
22%
60%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +6 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
RAV
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IMO
3 - 2
VIR
39%
23%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LEG
1 - 1
VIR
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 0
COR
37%
22%
41%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |