Sammaurese vs Zenith Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+1046%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
11º
18º
18º
23
11º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 21% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
29.5% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation
|
65.5% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TUT
2 - 1
SAM
13%
20%
67%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
ACP
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 3
RAV
13%
22%
65%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAM
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 1
SAN
24%
27%
50%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Zenith Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
ASD
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 49 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 3
FOR
12%
17%
71%
|
8 | 46 | 38 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
ZEN
86%
9%
5%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
RIC
10%
15%
76%
|
8 | 39 | 31 | -1 |