Sammaurese vs Cittadella Vis Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+1453%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
11º
18º
18º
28
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 62% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
29.5% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation
|
65.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PIA
0 - 0
SAM
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
ASD
19%
23%
57%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 3
COR
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
PIS
4 - 1
SAM
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 2
SAM
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella Vis Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CIT
0 - 1
FIO
16%
20%
64%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
CIT
2 - 3
FOR
19%
23%
58%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CIT
0 - 0
ASD
16%
21%
63%
|
13 | 52 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
COR
2 - 4
CIT
86%
9%
5%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | +3 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 0
CIT
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |