Samgurali vs Shukura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
6º
5º
11
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
GAG
66%
22%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 3
SAM
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 0
SAM
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAB
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
DBA
4 - 1
SAM
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Shukura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 6
DBA
10%
20%
70%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 0
SHU
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 0
FTK
18%
26%
57%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 2
SHU
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SHU
2 - 3
DTB
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |