Samgurali vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
MER
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 0
KOL
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
SHU
2 - 2
SAM
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
SAM
20%
25%
56%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
GOR
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
TEL
0 - 1
GAG
40%
29%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
SHU
3 - 4
GAG
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
GAG
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 2
SAB
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |