Samgurali vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
MES
1 - 2
SAM
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 1
MER
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
IME
0 - 1
SAM
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 3
LIA
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
SAM
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
GAG
3 - 0
SAM
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BET
5 - 2
GAG
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
GAG
2 - 0
SKU
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
BOR
3 - 1
GAG
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
GAG
2 - 1
CHK
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |