Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
10º
6º
31
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 71 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 67 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 66 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 56 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
51% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 32 |
9º
|
47.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 3
SAB
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FTK
3 - 1
SAM
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
TEL
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
SAM
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 0
SAM
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 2
DTB
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
DTB
0 - 0
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
DBA
2 - 0
DTB
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
DTB
2 - 2
GOR
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DTB
1 - 1
SAM
78%
14%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |