Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
6º
5º
71
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
TEL
0 - 1
SAM
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 1
SHU
61%
24%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
GAG
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
SAM
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
GOR
0 - 3
SAM
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
DTB
0 - 0
GAG
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
DTB
16%
23%
61%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
DTB
1 - 2
GOR
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
DTB
1 - 3
SAB
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
SIO
6 - 3
DTB
13%
22%
65%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |