Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
10º
6º
39
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 71 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 67 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 66 |
3º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 53 |
4º
|
81.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 43 |
7º
|
46.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 34 |
8º
|
44.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 32 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 30 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 1
SAM
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 1
DTB
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 3
SAB
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FTK
3 - 1
SAM
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
TEL
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Batumi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DBA
0 - 1
GAG
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 2
DBA
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
DBA
3 - 1
SAM
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 0
DBA
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
DBA
2 - 0
DTB
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |