Samgurali vs Chkherimela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
KOL
3 - 1
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
KOL
2 - 1
SAM
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
MER
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
LOK
2 - 2
SAM
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 2
KOL
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Chkherimela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
DBA
3 - 0
CHK
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
CHK
0 - 1
ALG
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
CHK
3 - 0
ADE
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CHK
4 - 2
DBA
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CHK
1 - 2
SAM
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |