Samgurali vs Bakhmaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 0
SAM
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
5 - 2
BET
65%
20%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
DBA
5 - 0
SAM
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
LOK
6 - 2
SAM
62%
20%
19%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 0
STU
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bakhmaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAK
3 - 0
STU
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
SAB
1 - 2
BAK
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
BAK
1 - 0
SUL
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
KOL
5 - 3
BAK
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
BAK
3 - 2
DIL
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |