Samgurali II vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
75.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 5
SAM
15%
17%
68%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 0
SAM
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 3
ZES
9%
17%
74%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 3
TEL
10%
17%
73%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
IBE
0 - 4
SAM
21%
21%
58%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 5
GAG
31%
23%
46%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
DTB
2 - 0
GAG
70%
18%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
GAG
4 - 0
SAB
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
FTK
2 - 1
GAG
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
GAG
2 - 0
TEL
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |