David Kipiani Cup 1/16
Global 1-8
Samegrelo vs Guria Lanchkhuti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
77.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
GUR
7 - 0
SAM
87%
10%
3%
|
24 | 64 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
SAM
5 - 1
MER
88%
9%
4%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
SUL
5 - 0
SAM
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 1
ODI
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 3
SAM
72%
15%
13%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guria Lanchkhuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SHU
2 - 1
GUR
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
GUR
7 - 0
SAM
87%
10%
3%
|
64 | 24 | 40 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
GUR
1 - 1
SIO
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
SIO
3 - 2
GUR
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GUR
2 - 2
DTB
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |