Samegrelo II vs Mertskhali II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samegrelo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
IME
2 - 4
SAM
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAM
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
ZAB
1 - 2
SAM
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
KOL
4 - 2
SAM
20%
21%
60%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 3
EGR
73%
16%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mertskhali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 3
KOL
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
EGR
3 - 1
MER
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
SAI
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
BAK
2 - 1
MER
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
SUL
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | 0 |