Samarra vs Al Naft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
44.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
ZAK
3 - 0
SFC
51%
28%
21%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 0
NAB
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ARB
2 - 1
SFC
58%
25%
18%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 2
ALK
32%
30%
38%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ALT
3 - 1
SFC
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Al Naft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
ALN
3 - 0
QAS
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALN
32%
31%
37%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
ALN
0 - 0
ALQ
42%
29%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
WAS
0 - 2
ALN
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALZ
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |