Sámano vs Selaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BEZ
0 - 0
SAM
55%
24%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 3
MAR
44%
25%
32%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
REV
0 - 0
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
RAY
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 0
TRO
21%
22%
57%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SEL
1 - 1
TRO
20%
24%
57%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAY
2 - 1
SEL
72%
18%
10%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SIE
4 - 0
SEL
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SEL
2 - 1
LAR
10%
19%
70%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +4 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GAM
3 - 1
SEL
37%
26%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |